It’s that time of the year! Strength of schedule in the NFL, and the Falcons are once again set to have an extremely easy schedule.
By way of win totals from Vegas oddsmakers, Raheem Morris is projected to have the easiest schedule in the league this upcoming season, followed by the Chargers, Bears, Jets, and Saints.
NEW: NFL strength of schedule for 2024!
5 easiest schedules:
1️⃣ Falcons
2️⃣ Chargers
3️⃣ Bears
4️⃣ Jets
5️⃣ Saints5 hardest schedules:
2️⃣8️⃣ Vikings
2️⃣9️⃣ Ravens
3️⃣0️⃣ Browns
3️⃣1️⃣ Patriots
3️⃣2️⃣ Steelers1-32 with insight & analysis:https://t.co/YfD77PUAVS
— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) April 15, 2024
The Falcons’ 2023 schedule was by far the easiest in terms of their opponents’ win percentage, but we know that’s not an accurate way of predicting how difficult a schedule will be because of year-to-year roster turnover.
A better method is using Vegas’ 2024 win totals. The house always wins for a reason; oddsmakers are good at what they do.
More often than not, teams’ win totals are very close to actual outcomes and are an excellent benchmark for projecting the strength of schedules, which resident football nerd Warren Sharp has so graciously done for all of us, and the Falcons still have the easiest schedule.
The NFC South is the worst division in football. The Buccaneers’ win total is set at 8.5, the Saints at 7.5, and the Panthers at 4.5, with the Falcons at 9.5 wins.
For those of you who doubt the math, from Sharp:
The Falcons did have one of the easiest schedules last year and missed the playoffs, so it’s clearly not an exact science, but getting to the postseason via the division has always been the surest path, and the Falcons have an excellent chance to do that in the NFC South.
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